3 people A,B and C have probability 3/5, 2/5 and 3/4 respectively of hitting a target with a rifle shot. Calculate the probability of there being exactly 2 hits if each A,B,C fires once at the target. A,B,C decide to participate in a contest in which each fires once and the 1st to hit the target receive a prize of Rs.94. If they agree to fire in the order A,B,C, Calculate how much of Rs.94 prize money each should contribute so that this game is fair.

let P(A), P(B) and P(C) be the probability that A, B and c hit the target.
therefore
P(A)=35;P(B)=25 and P(C)=34;P(A')=1-35=25P(B')=1-25=35 andP(C')=1-34=14
now the probability of being exactly two hits 
=P(A).P(B).P(C')+P(A').P(B).P(C)+P(A).P(B').P(C)=35*25*14+25*25*34+35*35*34=6100+12100+27100=6+12+27100=45100=920

Now let A win each game.So probability of A winning if order is A, B, C= A+A'B'C'A+A'B'C'A'B'C'A+....=35+25×35×14×35+25×35×14×25×35×14×35+....So here a =35, r =25×35×14=350  = 351-350=3047and probability of B winning, = A'B+A'B'C'A'B+A'B'C'A'B'C'A'B+..=25×25+25×35×14×25×25+25×35×14×25×35×14×25+..Here a = 25×25=425and r =35×14×25=350So sum = 4251-350=847So probability of C winning = 1-3047-847=947So prize money for A =3047×94=Rs. 60and  prize money for B =847×94=Rs. 16prize money for C =947×94=Rs. 18

  • 9
What are you looking for?